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It is striking how little little yield premium equities are offering over the official interest rate at them moment, says Ruffer’s Steve Russel. Investors may be tempted, but he warns that a cautious road may suit for the period ahead.
They can either tighten policy to squash inflation or ease to prevent financial contagion, but there’s no right answer for central banks according to Ruffer’s Duncan MacInnes.
“Gradually, and then suddenly”, the old Hemingway quote goes. The same could be said for corporate earnings, which Ruffer’s Jasmine Yeo believes are in danger of taking a sharp southerly turn.
It isn’t 2008 all over again, but dismissing the broader risks of SVB’s demise would be a mistake for investors, writes Ruffer CIO Henry Maxey.
Fiona Ker from Ruffer speaks to James Dunn from The Inside Network for our IN60 series.
It is perfectly possible that some inflationary measures fall back through zero, and prices actually deflate in an odd month, says Ruffer chair Jonathan Ruffer. If that happens, the complaisant assumption that inflation will go back to sleep again might look justified – but it will be a false dawn.
Sir Isaac Newton was one of the greatest scientists in history; he founded classical mechanics and the law of universal gravitation. For all that, he lost his life savings in the South Sea Bubble of 1720.
The British investment firm’s current cash weightings have hit historic levels after perceived risks in the global economy moved it to help preserve rather than accumulate capital.
After benefitting from climate calm for 8,000 years the foundations are being shaken. But with over 90 per cent of the global economies committed to net-zero we have a path to crack ‘both sides of the walnut’, according to Ruffer.
Alex Lennard from Ruffer speaks with James Dunn at The Inside Network’s Asset Allocation & Portfolio Construction Symposium on ‘inverting the telescope’ and what clients hate the most.