Fixed Income

Joe Kalish – Economist With the US equity market down 16.92 per cent and the Australian market down 10.14 per cent, year to date, all eyes are now on the US bond market after recession warning signs flashed bright red recently. Economists say yields on the 10-year US Government bond have fallen below 2-year US…

The events of 2022 have brought the fixed income and defensive allocations of multi-asset portfolios back into the spotlight. The reversal of recent gains in long-duration bonds, combined with a jump in credit spreads, has challenged even the most patient investor. It has also highlighted a unique challenge of applying a passive, broad-based approach to…

“When bonds didn’t act like bonds” was the pretext to JP Morgan’s Johnathan Liang when presenting to leading financial advisers at The Inside Network’s Income and Defensive Asset Symposium this week. Comparing the Federal Reserve to the favourite Marvel character, Dr Strange, Liang highlighted the near ‘superpowers’ of the central bank to push asset prices…

BCA’s Ryan Swift spoke at the Inside Network’s Income and Defensive Assets Symposium, via video feed, just after the Fed raised interest rates by 75bps. As one can expect, there was a lot of volatility in US Treasuries during this period, making it a challenging time for analysts because of all the outside noise and…

History has shown that investing into bank loans and credit markets at or near current valuation levels has delivered high single digit and double digit returns over the long-term. These were the comments of Teiki Benveniste, Head of Ares Australia Management, when presenting to leading advisers and consultants during The Inside Network’s Income and Defensive…

The Australian dollar could fall to US65 cents by the year’s end as higher interest rates in the US and capital inflows push the US dollar higher. The currency’s fall is boosting returns from unhedged offshore share investments, but experts are mixed on whether the currency weakness will be maintained over he short to medium…

In a challenging environment plagued with uncertainty and volatility, rising inflation has turned investors away from risky growth assets, and into other asset classes that provide more stable income sources and less downside risk. Among the more popular alternatives to valuation-challenged equities and interest-rate-sensitive government and semi-government bonds have been real assets and private credit….

Housing crash As fixed mortgages expire in Australia, households will be hit by higher interest costs on variable mortgages which will threaten consumer spending and economic growth, according to new research from AMP Investments.  A large number of home loans in Australia were fixed at ultra-low interest rates during the pandemic. Many of these will…

The biggest question on the minds of every investor in the world today is clear: will the US experience a recession? According to global asset manager Neuberger Berman, the world sits at an “important juncture” following a “tumultuous quarter” in which central banks put the brakes on both the equity and bond markets. Switching yields…

The end of 2022 feels a little like a blur of problems, people and red numbers, that’s not even considering what we have just been through. A pandemic, supply chain disruptions, war, rising energy prices, climate change and soaring inflation are just some of the key themes that impacted global markets throughout the year. As…

This week marks the start of a fresh new year. ‘Out with the old, and in with the new’ is the old adage. Unfortunately, it’s not so straightforward with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Inflation remains stubborn, hovering around the 5.1 per cent mark, but there are fears are that it could very quickly…

While several weeks ago now, the threat of 75 basis point hikes is no longer in the future, it has and will likely happen more than once in 2022. Essentially, the Federal Reserve and other central banks, including the RBA, are tiptoeing the line of fighting inflation without sending the economy into recession. This was…