While much ado is made of the science that goes into fund manager research, real assessment puts comparable weight on the art as well according to investment leaders.
While financials and materials dominated trades leading into 2024, the popularity of other sectors like healthcare and information technology followed generational, and even demographic, lines.
Getting a clear view of the gap between stock picking and proactive management
At HMC Capital, our unlisted alternatives funds are described as being private equity-style investing in the listed market. Another way of describing this – and a way that we view ourselves – is as a high conviction, proactive manager.
So how does stock picking (like the managers at Perpetual, Bennelong, Ausbil or any of the other Australian equity managers available to financial planners) compare against proactive management?
Stock picking and proactive management are two approaches to investing in the stock market. While both methods aim to generate returns for investors, they differ significantly in terms of strategy and outcomes. It’s important that Australian financial planner have the information and the wherewithal to understand these differences and determine which approach is suitable for their clients.
Stock picking involves selecting individual stocks based on analysis of financial data and market trends. The goal is to identify stocks that are undervalued or have the potential for significant growth, and hence are well positioned to increase in value over time. This requires a significant amount of research and analysis, and success often depends on the individual skill of the investor or analyst. Portfolios for this type of investment tend to hold 25 to 50 different companies, as diversification is important given the outcomes for each individual investment is out of the control of the manager.
Proactive management, on the other hand, involves not only identifying undervalued stocks but also taking an active role in the investee companies. Proactive managers seek to influence the decision-making of the company’s management and board of directors in order to improve the company’s performance and increase shareholder value. This can involve engaging with the company’s leadership, proposing changes to corporate strategy, the sale of certain assets or even changing the capital structure of the business to effect change. Portfolios with this type of investment tend to be far more concentrated due to the time and effort required to catalyse these changes.
While both stock picking and proactive management have the potential to generate returns for investors, they differ in terms of risk and potential reward. Stock picking relies on temporary inefficiencies in the market and delivery of returns is largely dependent on the market recognising the inherent value in the selected stocks over time. Investors are therefore exposed to the risk that either the manager’s predictions in relation to an individual stock were incorrect, or the market has a different view of inherent value – however this risk is managed through diversification, which may also result in lower returns.
Proactive management, on the other hand, involves not only identifying undervalued stocks but also taking an active role in the investee companies. Proactive managers seek to influence the decision-making of the company’s management and board of directors in order to improve the company’s performance and increase shareholder value. This can involve engaging with the company’s leadership, proposing changes to corporate strategy, the sale of certain assets or even changing the capital structure of the business to effect change. Portfolios with this type of investment tend to be far more concentrated due to the time and effort required to catalyse these changes.
While both stock picking and proactive management have the potential to generate returns for investors, they differ in terms of risk and potential reward.
Stock picking relies on temporary inefficiencies in the market and delivery of returns is largely dependent on the market recognising the inherent value in the selected stocks over time. Investors are therefore exposed to the risk that either the manager’s predictions in relation to an individual stock were incorrect, or the market has a different view of inherent value – however this risk is managed through diversification, which may also result in lower returns.
Proactive management, on the other hand, aims to catalyse value through the manager’s own skill and action, and is less reliant on the market delivering returns. The risk profile of such funds is generally higher due to the concentrated nature of the portfolios; however, the potential returns may be higher.
In terms of suitability for Australian investors, the choice between stock picking and proactive management will depend on the client’s investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon. Investors with a medium-term time horizon and more moderate risk tolerance may prefer the more traditional approach of stock picking, while those with a longer time horizon and higher risk tolerance may be more interested in the potentially higher returns of proactive management.
Ultimately, the decision between stock picking and proactive management should be based on a thorough understanding of the client’s individual circumstances and investment objectives.
